{"id":32138,"date":"2025-07-17T11:04:17","date_gmt":"2025-07-17T14:04:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gazetaitauna.com.br\/site\/?p=32138"},"modified":"2025-07-17T11:05:57","modified_gmt":"2025-07-17T14:05:57","slug":"quaest-lula-tem-41-e-tarcisio-37-em-cenario-de-segundo-turno-em-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gazetaitauna.com.br\/site\/quaest-lula-tem-41-e-tarcisio-37-em-cenario-de-segundo-turno-em-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Quaest: Lula tem 41% e Tarc\u00edsio, 37% em cen\u00e1rio de segundo turno em 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Foto: Brasil 247<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Foram entrevistadas 2.004 pessoas, entre os dias 10 e 14 de julho; margem de erro \u00e9 dois pontos percentuais, para mais ou para menos<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

O presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT) e o governador de S\u00e3o Paulo, Tarc\u00edsio de Freitas (Republicanos), aparecem empatados tecnicamente em um eventual segundo turno na elei\u00e7\u00e3o de 2026, segundo pesquisa Genial\/Quaest divulgada nesta quarta-feira, 17.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lula tem 41% e Tarc\u00edsio, 37%. Indecisos s\u00e3o 7%. A margem de erro \u00e9 de dois pontos percentuais, para mais ou para menos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Veja o cen\u00e1rio:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT): 41%
Tarc\u00edsio de Freitas (Republicanos): 37%
Indecisos: 7%
Branco\/nulo\/n\u00e3o vai votar: 15%<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tamb\u00e9m foram testados outros cen\u00e1rios, veja:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Cen\u00e1rio 1<\/strong>
Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT): 43%
Jair Bolsonaro (PL): 37%
Indecisos: 4%
Branco\/nulo\/n\u00e3o vai votar: 16%
Bolsonaro est\u00e1 ineleg\u00edvel at\u00e9 2030 ap\u00f3s sofrer condena\u00e7\u00f5es do TSE (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cen\u00e1rio 2<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT): 41%
Tarc\u00edsio de Freitas (Republicanos): 37%
Indecisos: 7%
Branco\/nulo\/n\u00e3o vai votar: 15%
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cen\u00e1rio 3<\/strong>
Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT): 43%
Michelle Bolsonaro (PL): 36%
Indecisos: 5%
Branco\/nulo\/n\u00e3o vai votar: 16%
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cen\u00e1rio 4<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT): 41%
Ratinho Jr. (PSD): 36%
Indecisos: 6%
Branco\/nulo\/n\u00e3o vai votar: 17%
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cen\u00e1rio 5<\/strong>
Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT): 41%
Eduardo Leite (PSD): 36%
Indecisos: 7%
Branco\/nulo\/n\u00e3o vai votar: 16%
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cen\u00e1rio 6<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT): 43%
Eduardo Bolsonaro (PL): 33%
Indecisos: 5%
Branco\/nulo\/n\u00e3o vai votar: 19%
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cen\u00e1rio 7<\/strong>
Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT): 42%
Romeu Zema (Novo): 33%
Indecisos: 7%
Branco\/nulo\/n\u00e3o vai votar: 18%
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cen\u00e1rio 8<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT): 42%
Ronaldo Caiado (Uni\u00e3o): 33%
Indecisos: 7%
Branco\/nulo\/n\u00e3o vai votar: 18%<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Reprodu\u00e7\u00e3o da CNN Brasil<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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